Wednesday, January 25, 2017

It’s anyone in the game of alliance PAS and UMNO arithmetic or chemistry?

Image result for new BN in the coming election
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Image result for new BN in the coming election
Image result for new BN in the coming election
 This  is is a spoof on New BN. Four minions (the cartoon characters) come walking down a winding road. They have the faces of the four Najib – PAS, MCA,Gerakan and MIC . As they stroll arm in arm the popular Hindi song is playing “Ek doosre se karte hain pyar hum/ Ek doosre ke liye bekarar hum/ Ek doosre ke wasteymca marna pade to, hain taiyar hum …(We love each other/we are ready to die for each other).”

The UMNO-PAS alliance changes equations in Malay majority voters in so far as there is potential for the elections to be about chemistry as opposed to just arithmetic. If it works, it would be driven by the leaders self interest There is a low grade communal sentiment, most magnified by PAS but also there in eastern parts of the country. The resentment of parties that rely on minorities like MCA,MIC and other mosqitoes parties can be made to work for UMNO presuming other factors in its campaign click.

The anti-incumbent force against his own incumbent regime. It is certainly one of the great ironic twists of Malaysian democracy that dynasts of UMNO ana DAP should at this point to be the young, anti-system agitators.Dr Mahathir Mohamad has claimed that some PAS leaders are "sabotaging" talks of possible cooperation between the Islamist party and Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia (Bersatu).The former premier pointed the finger at PAS research centre director Mohd Zuhdi Marzuki as one of them, noting that the latter was attacking Bersatu leaders, particularly Mahathir.

Usually however  in the game of alliance  is about arithmetic, which broadly means that the three major players, the UMNO-led alliance, DAP and PKR,and Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia (Bersatu) are in a triangular contest in the first-past-the-post system aiming at around 30% of the vote. Most of the analysis derives from equations such as X community plus Y community means victory and so on. Competing parties therefore spend as much energy on trying to split the votes of their opponents as on garnering their own votes.

 PAS is playing the game with the arithmetic of Muslim population . UMNO must know that PAS is unlikely to get many middle class Malay  votes as it did during its 2013 win because PAS was with DAP and PKR in the game and certainly now UMNO has the edge with  middle class Malay  votes PAS, which now appears viable as it rides on UMNO.PAS president this is the politician who can laugh at himself. Now the real battle begin readmoreJohari Abdul Ghani ask You can’t d

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